methodatlas

Agile Decision method

Planning Poker

Compares stories relatively, exposes knowledge gaps, and produces a shared estimate with traceable assumptions.

Sie lässt alle eine Schätzung auf Basis derselben Information bilden und vergleicht anschließend die Spannweite. So werden Wissenslücken und verdeckte Risiken sichtbar, bevor eine Zahl zum Dogma wird.

Core question
Which relative size can the delivery team support after independent selection, simultaneous reveal, and clarification of the highest and lowest assumptions?
Participants
3-9
Time
5–15 minutes per prepared backlog item; usually 1–3 rounds.

The practice is repeated across comparable work items.

Paper illustration for Planning Poker.
  1. Ready

    Estimable item

    Product owner explains goal and acceptance criteria; team clarifies scope and Definition of Done.

  2. Anchors

    Relative frame

    Compare suitable smaller and larger reference items without calling a number for the current item.

  3. Choose

    Private cards

    All delivery participants independently choose a hidden card for total effort, complexity, and risk.

  4. Clarify

    Resolved difference

    Highest and lowest estimators explain assumptions first; team updates scope and risks.

  5. Revote

    Team estimate

    Choose privately and reveal together again; store estimate and assumptions when understanding is sufficient.

Add new evidence at review and version decisions with the prior state.

A good fit when

Wenn Schätzungen im Team zu stark auseinandergehen, bringt sie unterschiedliche Erwartungen auf einen gemeinsamen Prüfstand. Sie trennt grobe Komplexität von ungesagten Annahmen.

Ideal for

  • Sprint planning
  • Backlog refinement
  • Team alignment

Not good for

  • Very large backlogs
  • Portfolio rough sizing
  • Items without context

Outputs

  • Team estimate

    Supportable relative estimate with exposed assumptions, risks, clarifications, and marked split/spike needs.

Planning Poker · working structure

Fictional example

Fictional values show the actual method fields.

Planning Poker · working structure
Backlog itemAcceptance/DoDReferencesRound 1DifferenceClarificationRound 2Outcome
Save cardAdd evidence and rationale.Provider token; logged-in users; browser tests; security review3 save address; 8 new payment method3, 5, 5, 8, 1313 sees management/compliance; 3 knows token APICard management out; security review stays5, 5, 5, 5, 8Team supports 5; assumption recorded
Provider migrationAdd evidence and rationale.Migration, fallback, certification still unclear8 new payment method; 20 checkout migration13, 20, 20, 40, ∞Unknown certification and multiple outcomesSplit item; certification spikeNo second roundNot estimable; split + spike
  1. 1. Acceptance/DoD

    Save card
    Provider token; logged-in users; browser tests; security review
    Provider migration
    Migration, fallback, certification still unclear
  2. 2. References

    Save card
    3 save address; 8 new payment method
    Provider migration
    8 new payment method; 20 checkout migration
  3. 3. Round 1

    Save card
    3, 5, 5, 8, 13
    Provider migration
    13, 20, 20, 40, ∞
  4. 4. Difference

    Save card
    13 sees management/compliance; 3 knows token API
    Provider migration
    Unknown certification and multiple outcomes
  5. 5. Clarification

    Save card
    Card management out; security review stays
    Provider migration
    Split item; certification spike
  6. 6. Round 2

    Save card
    5, 5, 5, 5, 8
    Provider migration
    No second round
  7. 7. Outcome

    Save card
    Team supports 5; assumption recorded
    Provider migration
    Not estimable; split + spike

All values are fictional.

Reference · original teaching example

First step

Select an item with goal and acceptance criteria; show estimation unit, Definition of Done, and 2–3 stable reference items.

Open the method guide

Deep dive

Purpose

When estimates within the team diverge too much, it puts differing expectations on a common test bench. It separates rough complexity from unspoken assumptions.

How it works

It has everyone form an estimate based on the same information and then compares the spread. This surfaces knowledge gaps and hidden risks before a number turns into dogma.

In detail

Planning Poker combines independent judgment with shared clarification. Secret selection reduces anchoring effects because strong voices do not shape the group immediately. Large differences are not treated as errors, but as signals for different assumptions, unclear acceptance criteria, or hidden risks. After a short discussion the team estimates again until a workable relative size emerges.

Facilitation

Prepare clear items, acceptance criteria, and a defined scale. Timebox the discussion so estimating does not turn into design work. When outliers appear, ask about assumptions rather than justification, and split items that remain too large or unclear.

The method guide walks execution through 5 phases, timing, 5 pitfalls, and clear stop criteria.

Open method guide

Your perspective

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Sources and topics

Topics
Artifact templates
Planning Poker: WorksheetSet subject, evidence, roles, flow, and review.
markdown

planning-poker-working-template.md

Set subject, evidence, roles, flow, and review.

Planning Poker: Worksheet

Question

To be confirmed

Desired outcome

To be confirmed

Scope

Practice run Time: 5–15 minutes per prepared backlog item; usually 1–3 rounds.

Complete this worksheet on paper or in your own document during the work.

Preparation for this scope

Method setup

  • Materials: Refinement-ready items, acceptance criteria, shared Definition of Done, reference items, and hidden cards 0, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 20, 40, 100, ?, ∞
  • Roles: Product owner explains · delivery team estimates · facilitator moderates · experts answer questions
  • Advance information: Select an item with goal and acceptance criteria; show estimation unit, Definition of Done, and 2–3 stable reference items.
  • Overall time needed: 5–15 minutes per prepared backlog item; usually 1–3 rounds.
  • Setup: Prepare a workspace with Ready · Anchors · Choose · Clarify · Revote; separate example from live data.

Prepare for the work steps

Ready: Estimable item

  • Select an item with goal and acceptance criteria; show estimation unit, Definition of Done, and 2–3 stable reference items.
  • Refinement-ready items, acceptance criteria, shared Definition of Done, reference items, and hidden cards 0, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 20, 40, 100, ?, ∞

Anchors: Relative frame

  • Estimable item

Choose: Private cards

  • Relative frame

Clarify: Resolved difference

  • Private cards

Revote: Team estimate

  • Resolved difference

Planning Poker · working structure

Backlog itemAcceptance/DoDReferencesRound 1DifferenceClarificationRound 2Outcome
Save card
Provider migration
  • Save card: Add evidence and rationale.
  • Provider migration: Add evidence and rationale.

The blank worksheet contains prompts only.

Reference · original teaching example

Ready: Estimable item

Expected artifact: Estimable item

Product owner explains goal and acceptance criteria; team clarifies scope and Definition of Done.

Entry:

...

  • Can every estimator explain included work and success criteria?

Anchors: Relative frame

Expected artifact: Relative frame

Compare suitable smaller and larger reference items without calling a number for the current item.

Entry:

...

  • Does everyone use the same scale and references?

Choose: Private cards

Expected artifact: Private cards

All delivery participants independently choose a hidden card for total effort, complexity, and risk.

Entry:

...

  • Did every estimator choose before reveal?

Clarify: Resolved difference

Expected artifact: Resolved difference

Highest and lowest estimators explain assumptions first; team updates scope and risks.

Entry:

...

  • Was the difference explained rather than averaged?

Revote: Team estimate

Expected artifact: Team estimate

Choose privately and reveal together again; store estimate and assumptions when understanding is sufficient.

Entry:

...

  • Can the team support the value and name the decisive assumption?

Open questions and next steps

...

Method guide: https://methodatlas.meierhoff-systems.de/en/methods/planning-poker/run-sheet

Alternatives and neighbors

Fitting alternatives with decision guidance, followed by other related methods.

All methods
Constraints and origin
LowWorkshop + async2-5 min je Item

Profile

Method form
Decision method
Participants
3-9
Time
2-5 min je Item
Maturity
Canonical
Origin
James Grenning
Story Splitting method illustration showing its working structure
Next up: Story Splitting