methodatlas
Systems Thinking

Current Reality Tree

Clarifies connections, patterns, and leverage points by collecting undesirable effects, formulating causal links, and deriving interventions.

Core question
Which few core causes lie under the system's undesirable effects, and at which leverage points would an intervention resolve the most UDEs at once?
HighWorkshop2-6 h
Purpose

The method helps clarify connections, patterns, and leverage points concretely. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, and Intervention Ideas.

How it works

The team follows the steps: collect undesirable effects, formulate causal links, check logic, identify core causes, and derive interventions. Each step is captured visibly. At the end, a Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, and Intervention Ideas are available so decisions, tests, or actions can follow directly.

Visual orientation

Method sketch for a quick mental model.

Current Reality Tree · TOCUnerwünschte Effekte über Ursache-Wirkungs-Logik zu Kernproblemen und Hebelpunkten verdichten
Current Reality TreeDas Visual zeigt unerwünschte Effekte, kausale Annahmen, ein Kernproblem und einen Hebelpunkt im Current Reality Tree.Unerwünschte Effekte zu einem Kernproblem zurückführenDer Baum macht Ursache-Wirkungs-Logik sichtbar und zeigt, wo eine Intervention das System verändern kann.wenn, dannLogik prüfenKernursacheUDE 1lange WartezeitUDE 2Qualität sinktUDE 3Prioritäten kippenUDE 4Durchsatz stocktPolicylokale OptimierungWIP steigtmehr Arbeit im SystemAbhängigkeitenÜbergaben blockierenKernproblembegrenzender KonfliktHebelpunktConstraint gezielt verändern

Flow

  1. 1Collect undesirable effects
  2. 2Formulate causal links
  3. 3Check logic
  4. 4Identify core causes
  5. 5Derive interventions

The runsheet guides execution with 5 phases, timeboxes, 5 pitfalls, and clear stop criteria.

Open runsheet

Ideal for

  • Complex Problem Solving
  • Process Improvement
  • Systems Change

Not good for

  • Quick individual decisions
  • Problems without a shared system understanding

Deep dive

In detail

Current Reality Tree follows a clear working logic: collect undesirable effects, formulate causal links, check logic, identify core causes, and derive interventions. This turns the method into a visible thinking process rather than only a conversation. Participants move step by step from raw material, observations, or options toward a shared structure. The result is a Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, and Intervention Ideas that make decisions, learning, or further planning actionable.

Facilitation

Prepare a clear guiding question, the right information, and a visible workspace. Plan about 2-6 h with 3-8 people and use the format in a facilitated workshop. The facilitation needs noticeable structure and preparation; short timeboxes, visible intermediate results, and a parking lot for open questions help.

Output artifacts
Current Reality TreeCore ProblemsIntervention Ideas
Tags
Artifact templates
Current Reality Tree Working TemplateCompact working template for Current Reality Tree with context, input, output artifacts, and next step.
canvas

current-reality-tree-working-template.md

Compact working template for Current Reality Tree with context, input, output artifacts, and next step.

Current Reality Tree Canvas

Context

What is this method used for?

Core question

Which question should be answered at the end?

Input

Which data, observations, or materials are available?

Working area

  • Area 1:
  • Area 2:
  • Area 3:
  • Relationships / patterns:

Output artifacts

  • Current Reality Tree:
  • Core Problems:
  • Intervention Ideas:

Open questions

  • ...

Next step

Owner, date, success signal.

When to choose differently

Short decision aid for existing alternatives.

Causal Loop Diagram

Statt Current Reality Tree, wenn ein Wirkgefüge mit Schleifen verständlich werden soll und keine TOC-Logik nötig ist.

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