methodatlas

Product Strategy Decision method

RICE Scoring

Prioritises comparable initiatives using shared assumptions.

RICE ranks initiatives by reach, impact, confidence, and effort. The score supports shared prioritisation and makes uncertainty and justified exceptions visible.

Core question
Which initiative promises the greatest expected contribution to our goal relative to effort?
Participants
2-10
Time
60-90 min

Four factors produce a comparison score. Decisions also consider dependencies, commitments and uncertainty.

Paper illustration of a scoring table with four factor columns, a calculator and three ordered initiative cards.
  1. Frame

    Frame the comparison

    Agree on goal, period and initiatives.

  2. Impact

    Estimate Reach and Impact

    Separate reach from effect per person.

  3. Evidence

    Add Confidence and Effort

    Expose uncertainty and total work.

  4. Review

    Check score and sensitivity

    Calculate and vary critical assumptions.

  5. Decision

    Set a justified priority

    Connect ordering with context and ownership.

Recalculate when evidence or effort changes. Check ranking changes and document the decision with its reasons.

A good fit when

You compare initiatives with a shared goal, fixed period and reasonably similar scope.

Ideal for

  • Roadmaps
  • Growth backlogs
  • Portfolio triage

Not good for

  • Very vague ideas
  • Purely political decisions

Outputs

  • Comparable RICE table

    Factors with shared units and sources.

  • Reviewed uncertainty

    Assumptions that could change the ordering.

  • Prioritization decision

    Ordering, rationale and next review date.

Calculate RICE with consistent assumptions

Fictional worked example

Fictional example: two improvements to a booking app compared over the same quarter. All numbers are invented.

RICE = Reach × Impact × (Confidence / 100) / Effort

Fictional worked example
InitiativeReachpeople / quarterImpactfactorConfidence%Effortperson-monthsScore
Simplify booking1,200280%4480
Add reminders600350%2450
Simplify booking: Evidence
Fictional: usage data and several interviews; effort estimated together.
Add reminders: Evidence
Fictional: bounded reach; high impact is still only an assumption.

480 is slightly ahead of 450. If booking effort rises from 4 to 6 person-months, its score drops to 320. The ordering depends on an uncertain assumption.

RICE by Intercom · original example calculation

First step

Agree on one decision goal, period and comparable initiatives. Define units before estimating.

Open the method guide

Deep dive

Purpose

When many initiatives compete for the same resources, it brings reach, impact, confidence, and effort into one shared ranking. It makes prioritization economically connectable.

How it works

It assigns each initiative a comparable score and records the assumptions behind the numbers. Confidence matters especially because it shows whether priority comes from solid evidence or just optimistic expectations of impact.

In detail

RICE helps because it brings reach, impact, confidence, and effort, four different perspectives on priority, into one shared scoring logic. Good use treats the numbers as condensed arguments and discloses where data is missing or assumptions are shaky. This makes it easier to tell whether an initiative moves up because of genuinely high impact or just because of optimistic estimates.

Facilitation

Prepare the inputs so every dimension can be briefly justified and confidence doesn't just become a substitute for gut feeling. The relevant threshold sits exactly where high impact is paired with very weak confidence. Toward the end, bundle a transparent ranking, marked uncertainties, and a note on which data would make the biggest difference.

The method guide walks execution through 5 phases, timing, 5 pitfalls, and clear stop criteria.

Open method guide

Your perspective

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Sources and topics

Topics
Artifact templates
RICE Scoring: WorksheetPrepare comparable initiatives and the evidence needed for estimates.
markdown

rice-working-template.md

Prepare comparable initiatives and the evidence needed for estimates.

RICE Scoring: Worksheet

Question

To be confirmed

Desired outcome

To be confirmed

Scope

Run a prioritization comparison Time: 60 to 90 minutes with prepared inputs

Complete this worksheet on paper or in your own document during the work.

Preparation for this scope

Method setup

  • Materials: Shared scoring table, clearly described initiatives, usage data, customer evidence and effort estimates.
  • Roles: Product · domain and customer perspective · Engineering · decision owner
  • Advance information: Gather initiatives, usage data, impact hypotheses and effort ranges. Record the period, source and uncertainty.
  • Overall time needed: 60–90 minutes for a prepared comparison; research separately.
  • Setup: Use one row per initiative. Reach counts affected people in the chosen period. Impact expresses the effect per person on the shared goal. For example, use Intercom’s scale of 3 / 2 / 1 / 0.5 / 0.25. Enter Confidence as a percentage, such as 100 / 80 / 50 for different levels of supporting evidence. Effort covers total work in person-months and must be greater than zero.

Prepare for the work steps

Frame: Frame the comparison

  • Prioritization question
  • Described initiatives

Impact: Estimate Reach and Impact

  • Usage data and customer evidence

Evidence: Add Confidence and Effort

  • Evidence quality
  • Estimates from those doing the work

Review: Check score and sensitivity

  • Four factors per initiative

Decision: Set a justified priority

  • Reviewed ranking
  • Dependencies and commitments

Calculate RICE with consistent assumptions

RICE = Reach × Impact × (Confidence / 100) / Effort

InitiativeReach (people / quarter)Impact (factor)Confidence (%)Effort (person-months)ScoreEvidence

Agree on the same period, goal and units before entering values. Enter Confidence as a percentage. Record sources and open assumptions for each initiative; Effort must be greater than zero.

RICE by Intercom · original example calculation

Frame: Frame the comparison

Expected artifact: Comparison frame

Goal · period · units

Entry:

...

  • Are the initiatives meaningfully comparable?

Impact: Estimate Reach and Impact

Expected artifact: Impact estimate

Reach · Impact · evidence

Entry:

...

  • Is reach counted only once?
  • Does impact refer to the same goal?

Evidence: Add Confidence and Effort

Expected artifact: Complete factors

Confidence · Effort · assumptions

Entry:

...

  • Is confidence grounded in evidence?
  • Is effort positive and complete?

Review: Check score and sensitivity

Expected artifact: Reviewed ranking

Score · range · ranking changes

Entry:

...

  • Is 80 percent calculated as 0.8?
  • Does the ordering survive plausible changes?

Decision: Set a justified priority

Expected artifact: Prioritization decision

Priority · reasons · owner · review date

Entry:

...

  • Are exceptions to the score explained?
  • Is the next review clear?

Open questions and next steps

...

Method guide: https://methodatlas.meierhoff-systems.de/en/methods/rice/run-sheet

Alternatives and neighbors

Fitting alternatives with decision guidance, followed by other related methods.

All methods
Constraints and origin
MediumWorkshop + async60-90 min

Profile

Method form
Decision method
Participants
2-10
Time
60-90 min
Maturity
Established
Origin
Intercom
A paper-based illustration representing OKRs with its core stages and visible working result.
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