methodatlas
Product Discovery

Opportunity Scoring

Moves customer problem, solution idea, and evidence toward a concrete result through "collect outcomes from discovery", "define an importance scale", and "calculate and sort the score".

Core question
Which outcomes are important to target users and currently poorly satisfied, and where does genuine innovation potential exist?
MediumWorkshop + async60-120 min
Purpose

Helps clarify customer problem, solution idea, and evidence in concrete terms. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as an opportunity-score table and top outcomes.

How it works

The team follows the steps "collect outcomes from discovery", "define an importance scale", "define a satisfaction scale", "score each outcome", and "calculate and sort the score". Each step is made visible. At the end, an opportunity-score table and top outcomes are available so decisions, tests, or actions can continue directly.

Visual orientation

Method sketch for a quick mental model.

Opportunity Scoring · wichtigste unzufriedene Outcomes findenKundenoutcomes nach Wichtigkeit und heutiger Zufriedenheit bewerten, damit echte Verbesserungshebel sichtbar werden
Opportunity ScoringDas Visual zeigt Kundenoutcomes nach Wichtigkeit und Zufriedenheit, markiert unzufriedene wichtige Outcomes als Chancen und leitet daraus ein Top Outcome ab.Hohe Wichtigkeit und niedrige Zufriedenheit findenOpportunity Scoring priorisiert Outcomes, nicht Features: Die größte Lücke zeigt den stärksten Hebel.OutcomesKundenergebnisse sauberformulierenOpportunity MapChanceStärke haltenspäterübererfülltO1O2O3O4ScoreWZOpp.O1 schneller abschließen9315O2 weniger Fehler8610O3 Export teilen546Top Outcomehohe Wichtigkeit, niedrige ZufriedenheitwichtigzufriedenOpportunity = Wichtigkeit + Lücke

Flow

  1. 1Collect outcomes from discovery
  2. 2Define an importance scale
  3. 3Define a satisfaction scale
  4. 4Score each outcome
  5. 5Calculate and sort the score

The runsheet guides execution with 4 phases, timeboxes, 6 pitfalls, and clear stop criteria.

Open runsheet

Ideal for

  • Outcome-driven innovation
  • B2B discovery
  • Roadmap refresh

Not good for

  • Pure feature backlogs without outcome clarity

Deep dive

In detail

Opportunity Scoring, shaped by Anthony Ulwick in the context of Outcome-Driven Innovation, asks for each outcome how important it is to customers and how satisfied they are today. The gap between the two becomes the Opportunity Score. Areas with high importance and low satisfaction create the strongest leverage.

Facilitation

Write outcomes in customer language. Define the scale steps clearly. Base ratings on real interviews, not assumptions.

Output artifacts
Opportunity-Score-TabelleTop-Outcomes
Tags
Artifact templates
Opportunity Scoring Working TemplateCompact working template for Opportunity Scoring with context, input, output artifacts, and next step.
spreadsheet

opportunity-scoring-working-template.md

Compact working template for Opportunity Scoring with context, input, output artifacts, and next step.

Opportunity Scoring Working Matrix

ElementDescriptionRatingEvidenceOwnerNext step
1
2
3

Output artifacts

  • Opportunity score table:
  • Top outcomes:

Decision or recommendation

What consequence follows from the matrix?

When to choose differently

Short decision aid for existing alternatives.

ICE Scoring

Statt Opportunity Scoring, wenn du mit ICE Scoring Ideen schnell nach Impact, Confidence und Ease sortieren willst.

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