methodatlas
Decision Making

Risk Matrix

Moves options, criteria, and risks toward a concrete result through "set the scales for likelihood and impact", "collect risks or carry them over from earlier identification", and "define actions for each high-risk item".

Core question
Where does each risk sit on probability-impact scale, and which risks need immediate action, which observation, which accepted exposure?
LowWorkshop + async30-60 min
Purpose

Helps clarify options, criteria, and risks in concrete terms. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List.

How it works

The team follows the steps "set the scales for likelihood and impact", "collect risks or carry them over from earlier identification", "place each risk individually", "discuss clusters and clarify action needs", and "define actions for each high-risk item". Each step is made visible. At the end, Risk Matrix and Top Risk List are available so decisions, tests, or actions can continue directly.

Visual orientation

Method sketch for a quick mental model.

Risk Matrix · Wahrscheinlichkeit x AuswirkungRisiken auf klar definierten Skalen für Wahrscheinlichkeit und Auswirkung einordnen, Zonen lesen und Top-Risiken ableiten
Risk MatrixDas Visual zeigt Risiken in einer Matrix aus Wahrscheinlichkeit und Auswirkung mit farbigen Zonen, Top-Risiken und nächsten Aktionen.Risiken nach Wahrscheinlichkeit und Auswirkung vergleichbar machenKlare Skalen verhindern Bauchgefühl; farbige Zonen machen Aufmerksamkeit und Budget gezielter steuerbar.Skalen definierenStufen vor der Bewertung schriftlichklärenRisk MatrixniedrigmittelhochhochmittelniedrigR1R2R3R4Handlungsbedarfgrün beobachten, gelb prüfen, rotaktiv behandelnTop-RisikenMaßnahmen, Owner und Review-KadenzableitenNächste Aktionenmit ROAM, RAID oder Maßnahmen-BacklogweiterführenWahrscheinlichkeitAuswirkungjedes Risiko einzeln einordnen

Flow

  1. 1Set the scales for likelihood and impact
  2. 2Collect risks or carry them over from earlier identification
  3. 3Place each risk individually
  4. 4Discuss clusters and clarify action needs
  5. 5Define actions for each high-risk item

The runsheet guides execution with 4 phases, timeboxes, 5 pitfalls, and clear stop criteria.

Open runsheet

Ideal for

  • Steering board briefings
  • Project portfolio reviews
  • Compliance reviews

Not good for

  • Highly dynamic contexts with unknown risks

Deep dive

In detail

The Risk Matrix positions each identified risk on a likelihood versus impact scale, usually with three or five levels per axis. Colored zones mark urgency. It is often used in project management, security, and compliance contexts and is good for structuring discussion instead of leaving it open.

Facilitation

Write down the scale values before the session. Gather a separate rating for each risk across the group, then decide on an average or a consensus outcome.

Output artifacts
RisikomatrixTop-Risiko-Liste
Tags
Artifact templates
Risk Matrix Working TemplateCompact working template for Risk Matrix with context, input, output artifacts, and next step.
spreadsheet

risk-matrix-working-template.md

Compact working template for Risk Matrix with context, input, output artifacts, and next step.

Risk Matrix Working Matrix

ElementDescriptionRatingEvidenceOwnerNext step
1
2
3

Output artifacts

  • Risk Matrix:
  • Top Risk List:

Decision or recommendation

What consequence follows from the matrix?

When to choose differently

Short decision aid for existing alternatives.

ROAM Board

Statt Risk Matrix, wenn ihr Risiken gemeinsam besprechen wollt und nur einen lebendigen Maßnahmenstatus braucht.

Failure Mode and Effects Analysis

Statt Risk Matrix, wenn ihr Ausfallarten, Wirkungen und Gegenmaßnahmen systematisch absichern wollt.

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