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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Test Card |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 20-35 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Test Card with a pre-set threshold | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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