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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-5 Tage | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | Nutzertraffic | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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