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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 15-45 min | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 1-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
