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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Agile NoEstimates |  Growth A/B Testing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | laufend | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-12 | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationForecastingFlow | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation |
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