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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | LeanStartupValidationMVP | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |
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