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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-3 h | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |
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