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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-4 Wochen | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |
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