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Criterion
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Purposedifferent
A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 h or multiple rounds2-4 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
4-12 Experten2-63-10
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action BacklogEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationExpertsForecasting
Root causeSafetyIncident
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
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Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method