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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-60 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |
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