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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 45-60 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ChangeDecisionStrategy |
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