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| Criterion |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Agile Affinity Estimation |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-90 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 Experten | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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