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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Wardley Mapping |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations Barrier Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Wardley Mapping makes visible where an offering stands today and where it can evolve. The method connects user need, value chain, and evolution stages into a strategic basis for platform, build, or buy decisions. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 2-10 | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Wardley Map, Strategic Options, Evolution Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Barrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | StrategySystems thinkingDynamics | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Root causeSafetyIncident |
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