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Criterion
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Purposedifferent
The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration60-180 min
Participantsdifferent
1-102-64-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes
Tagsno overlap
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas