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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Product Discovery Pretotyping |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | Pretotyping clarifies whether a customer problem and solution idea create enough real demand. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence, and captures the result as a pretotyping sketch, test setup, and conversion data. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | Stunden bis wenige Tage | 0.5-2 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 1-4 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Pretotyping sketch, Test setup, Conversion data, Go or no-go decision | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ValidationDemandMVP | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning |
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