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Criterion
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitysame
LowLowLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min20–45 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
1-10Small cross-functional group2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning