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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations A3 Problem Solving |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 60-120 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations |
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