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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 60-120 min | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections |
Tagsno overlap | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange |
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