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Criterion
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Purposedifferent
The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMedium
Timedifferent
30-90 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-106-30 Experten2-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis
Tagsno overlap
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
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Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping