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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Decision Making Decision Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten | 1-6 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationExpertsForecasting | DecisionTreeOptions |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
