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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item30-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-81-106-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB