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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | Half day | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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