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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Agile Story Points |  Agile Bucket System |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When teams want to rate complexity rather than hours, it creates a shared, relative scale. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Point Estimates, Reference Stories, and Velocity Data. | When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | laufend, 1-5 min je Item | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-9 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Point Estimates, Reference Stories, Velocity Data | Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates |
Tags1 shared | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationAgileMeasurement | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing |
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