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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Process Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Operations
Process Mapping
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.With a confusing workflow that has many handoffs, the method makes the actual process visible. It shows where work is passed on, delayed, or duplicated, so improvement targets the right spots.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-3 hHalber Tag
Participantsdifferent
1-83-105-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesProcess Map, Handoff List, Improvement BacklogSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated Runbooks
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ProcessOperationsImprovement
ResilienceOperationsIncident
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a review with planned work, actual event sequence, comparison, and assigned improvement actions.
Operations
After-Action Review
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Paper illustration for Learning Review.
Operations
Learning Review