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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Operations PDCA Cycle |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1 h bis mehrere Wochen | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | PDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard Change | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | Continuous improvementLeanExperiments | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
