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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Three-Point Estimation | ![]() Decision Making OODA Loop | ![]() Operations After-Action Review |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 1-8 | 3-12 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | LearningOperationsImprovement |
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