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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item25-40 min15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
1-81-51-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesLearning Card with evidence and next actionSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis