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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-3 h | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 2-8 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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