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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je ItemHalber TagAs needed
Participantsdifferent
1-85-204-15
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ResilienceOperationsIncident
IncidentOperationsReliability
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Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Paper illustration for Learning Review.
Operations
Learning Review
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation