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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile Affinity Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing |
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