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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item60-180 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
1-84-202-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking NotesDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing