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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLow
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item30-90 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
1-82-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision BoundariesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method