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| Criterion |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | Half day | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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