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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-3 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-81-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision RationaleExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
SensemakingDecisionRationale
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB