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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Three-Point Estimation | ![]() Operations After-Action Review | ![]() DevOps Blameless Postmortem |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. | After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 10-30 min je Item | 20-45 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | 3-12 | 3-12 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary | Postmortem Doc, Action Items, Timeline |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | LearningOperationsImprovement | Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability |
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