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Criterion
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Purposedifferent
A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
10-30 min je Item1-4 Wochen30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-81-63-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items
Tagsno overlap
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas