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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 1-5 Tage | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |
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