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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 45-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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