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Criterion
Paper illustration for Theory of Change
Systems Thinking
Theory of Change
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Purposedifferent
Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h60-120 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
4-122-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome MeasuresConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report
Tagsno overlap
ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Impact Filter
Decision Making
Impact Filter
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis