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Criterion
Paper illustration for Theory of Change
Systems Thinking
Theory of Change
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
2-6 h60-120 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
4-122-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome MeasuresConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Impact Filter
Decision Making
Impact Filter
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis