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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Theory of Change |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 2-6 h | 45-90 min | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |
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