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Criterion
Surveys method illustration showing its working structure
UX Research
Surveys
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When a topic needs to be validated broadly and many people can answer the same question, surveys gather structured feedback in a scalable form. Answers become comparable and segmentable instead of remaining merely anecdotal.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
3-14 Tage2-4 h45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
50+3-82-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Survey Results, Charts, Segment InsightsFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
QuantitativeResearchValidation
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing