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Criterion
Paper illustration of Scrum with its method-specific working model.
Agile
Scrum
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When a team needs to work in a fixed delivery rhythm, it stabilizes cadence, responsibility, and feedback loops. It makes collaboration reliable across sprint boundaries.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen je Sprint, laufend45-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-10 (Scrum Team)2-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Product Backlog, Sprint Backlog, Increment, Sprint GoalAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
AgileIterationCadence
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration of Dual Track Agile with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Dual-Track Agile