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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Systems Thinking Theory of Change |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 2-6 h | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 4-12 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |
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