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Criterion
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLow
Timedifferent
0.5-2 Tage1-5 Tage30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
4-12Nutzertraffic1-5
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration of Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas