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| Criterion |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Option Framing |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | In early decisions, alternatives are often still vague, incomplete, or blended together. Option Framing brings every possibility into a comparable form and makes visible which variant actually fits the question. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 0.5-2 Tage | 45-120 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 4-12 | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Option Frames, Assumption Notes, Comparable Shortlist, Decision Inputs | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tags1 shared | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | OptionsDecision framingStrategyComparison | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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